PGA Tour Season Finale: 2020 Tour Championship

This week, the PGA Tour heads to East Lake Golf Club for the season finale, the Tour Championship.

It’ll be a staggered leaderboard, with Dustin Johnson starting at -10, and last man in, Mackenzie Hughes, starting at even par. When making your wagers this week, pay especially close attention to whether or not the staggered start comes into play. It will be a tough week to handicap, there is no way around it. A limited, 30-man field invites shorter odds and limited upside, but there is value out there if you know where to look. Let’s get into this week’s edition of Hot or Not.

Hot: Webb Simpson

Hopefully Webb will be the “forgotten” man this week. Having skipped the BMW Championship, some were concerned just how far he would drop in the FedEx Cup rankings. When it was all said it done, it really wasn’t that far. Starting a 6-under he is right in the mix, and it wouldn’t surprise me to find him with a chance to win the FedEx Cup come Sunday. Webb’s whole bag is firing on all cylinders and he comes to a course where he has experienced some success. Bermuda greens and Donald Ross courses, that’s what Webb Simpson does.

Hot: Billy Horschel

In my articles, I try to find players that other writers won’t highlight. That is Billy Horschel this week. Following his final round on Sunday, Billy made note of how many good putts he hit, but just didn’t fall. The irons were there all week and if not for a cold flat stick, his Sunday stroll would have been much more enjoyable. Making the finale by the skin of his teeth, the 2014 FedEx Cup Champion returns to the site of his biggest professional win. I have confidence that Billy will find the magic on the greens this week, and with his tee-to-green game rounding into form, he screams VALUE.

Not: Bryson DeChambeau

Make it 5 out of the last 6 tournaments, that the former “Mad Scientist” has lost strokes with his irons. Even more concerning, three of those instances are up there amongst the worst of his professional career. On top of that, despite gaining almost 4.5 strokes with his putter, Bryson still finished 50th last week out of 69 players. Need any more convincing?  For all the noise about his driver, the irons have gone awfully silent. And you know what? I’m coming back for seconds and stuffing this nerd into a locker (please don’t eat me Bryson).

Next: What is the fantasy impact of Leonard Fournette’s release?

Not: Patrick Reed

Justine – @useGolfFACTS on Twitter – if you are reading this, please do not take it personally, but your husband’s game just has not been there the last couple of weeks. One of the more volatile players on Tour – take that as you may –  I am inclined on taking a flyer this week and say that Patrick Reed won’t play all too well. Looking back at Reed’s history at East Lake GC, I was shocked to see how poor it is. In 6 starts, he has failed to gain strokes off-the-tee and on approach. And oddly enough, typically a wizard around the greens, Reed’s short game has been lackluster as of late. There is too much going on with Reed’s game to confidently pick him, so with much better options around him on the board, I’ll fade him.

 


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