2020 U.S. Open odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that nailed six golf majors

With the buzz around the 2020 U.S. Open ramping into high gear, the second major of the year should be competitive from start to finish when it tees off Thursday, Sept. 17, from Winged Foot Golf Club. The 120th U.S. Open will be unlike any other since spectators won’t be allowed on the grounds due to the coronavirus pandemic.  Despite that, the 2020 U.S. Open field is peppered with major champions like Tiger Woods, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and Dustin Johnson.

Despite winning just one major in his career, Johnson is going off as the 8-1 favorite in the 2020 U.S. Open odds from William Hill. Johnson has been on fire since the PGA Tour restart, finishing in first or second in his last four starts. Other top 2020 U.S. Open contenders include Jon Rahm (11-1), McIlroy (12-1), Thomas (14-1) and Bryson DeChambeau (14-1). Before locking in your 2020 U.S. Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire since the return of the PGA Tour in June. In fact, it’s up over $8,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure finished profitable to open the FedEx Cup Playoffs at the Northern Trust, nailing three of his best bets, including a +700 top-five bet on Daniel Berger. After hitting a top-five bet (12-1) on Doc Redman at the Wyndham Championship, McClure finished up over $700 in that event. 

The model was all over Dustin Johnson (8-5) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Tour Championship and Justin Thomas winning the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational at 12-1. And at the 3M Open, McClure’s best bets returned a whopping $1,100 as he nailed a top-five pick on Max Homa (12-1) and a top-20 pick on Talor Gooch (4-1). Those are just some of his big recent wins. 

In all, the advanced computer model has nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend, including two of the last four. Last year at the U.S. Open, the model nailed Gary Woodland’s win entering the weekend, even though he wasn’t the favorite. Anyone who has followed its golf picks has seen massive returns. 

Now that the 2020 U.S Open field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

The model’s top 2020 U.S. Open predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the U.S. Open 2020: Rory McIlroy, a former U.S. Open champion and one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles and barely cracks the top five. McIlroy’s emphatic 2011 U.S. Open victory at Congressional Country Club was remarkable, defeating runner-up Jason Day by eight strokes. 

McIlroy was also sensational at the beginning of the 2019-20 season, finishing fifth or better in his first six starts. However, McIlroy has seen a dramatic drop-off after the PGA Tour resumed play following the hiatus caused by the coronavirus pandemic. In fact, he has recorded just one top-10 finish since June and enters the 2020 U.S. Open having finished outside the top 30 in six of his last nine starts. 

McIlroy’s inconsistent performances can be directly attributed to his inability to find the fairway off the tee. The four-time major champion finished last season ranked 155th in driving accuracy percentage (56.34), which doesn’t bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard at Winged Foot. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in this loaded U.S. Open 2020 field.

Another surprise: Daniel Berger, a massive 33-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. 

The 27-year-old has finished in the top 15 in eight of his last 11 PGA Tour events, a span that includes a victory at the Charles Schwab Challenge in June, a runner-up performance at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational and a third-place finish at the Northern Trust. It’s tough to find many holes in his game right now since he finished last season ranked in the top 10 in scoring average (69.237), birdie average (4.38) and one-putt percentage (43.84). With strong stats across the board and long odds, Berger is a strong choice for your 2020 U.S. Open bets, according to the model. 

How to make 2020 U.S. Open picks

Also, the model is targeting four other golfers with odds of 18-1 or higher to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who wins the 2020 U.S. Open? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2020 U.S. Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed six golf majors, including Woodland’s upset win last year, and is up over $8,000 since the restart, and find out.

2020 U.S. Open odds (via William Hill)

Dustin Johnson 8-1
Jon Rahm 11-1
Rory McIlroy 12-1
Bryson DeChambeau 14-1
Justin Thomas 14-1
Xander Schauffele 18-1
Collin Morikawa 18-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1
Hideki Matsuyama 28-1
Justin Rose 28-1
Tiger Woods 28-1
Webb Simpson 28-1
Jason Day 33-1
Daniel Berger 33-1
Tony Finau 33-1
Tommy Fleetwood 33-1
Adam Scott 35-1
Rickie Fowler 40-1
Scottie Scheffler 40-1
Patrick Reed 40-1
Tyrrell Hatton 50-1
Jordan Spieth 50-1
Viktor Hovland 50-1
Gary Woodland 50-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Harris English 60-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 60-1
Sung-Jae Im 66-1
Marc Leishman 66-1
Matthew Wolff 66-1
Shane Lowry 80-1
Henrik Stenson 80-1
Abraham Ancer 80-1
Louis Oosthuizen 80-1
Cameron Champ 80-1
Francesco Molinari 80-1
Matt Kuchar 80-1
Phil Mickelson 80-1
Sergio Garcia 80-1
Cameron Smith 100-1
Joaquin Niemann 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
Si Woo Kim 100-1
Danny Willett 100-1
Brendon Todd 100-1
Martin Kaymer 125-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 125-1
Ian Poulter 125-1
Bernd Wiesberger 125-1
Rasmus Hojgaard 125-1
Brandt Snedeker 125-1
Branden Grace 125-1
Adam Hadwin 125-1
Matt Wallace 125-1
Lee Westwood 125-1
Bubba Watson 125-1
Kevin Kisner 125-1


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