2020 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from proven model that nailed six majors

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Nearly three months after it was originally scheduled in May, the 2020 PGA Championship will begin on Thursday, Aug. 6 at TPC Harding Park in San Francisco. It will be the first major championship of the season and Brooks Koepka will try to capture his third consecutive victory in this event after putting together dominant performances at Bellerive and Bethpage Black in 2018 and 2019. Koepka has missed two of the last three starts and been bothered by a knee injury, but he’s still listed at 14-1 in the latest 2020 PGA Championship odds from William Hill.

However, Rory McIlroy (8-1), Bryson DeChambeau (10-1), Jon Rahm (11-1), Justin Thomas (12-1) and Dustin Johnson (12-1) are all listed ahead of Koepka on the PGA Tour odds board. Tiger Woods is lingering at 18-1 after making a run at Koepka at the 2018 PGA Championship before going on to win last year’s Masters. Before locking in your 2020 PGA Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the latest golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine. 

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire since the return of the PGA Tour in June. In fact, it’s up over $8,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament. At the 3M Open, McClure’s best bets returned a whopping $1,100 as he nailed a top-five pick on Max Homa (+1200) and a top-20 pick on Talor Gooch (+400). 

At the Memorial Tournament, McClure used the model to identify winner Jon Rahm (22-1) as one of his best bets from the start. It also had him as the projected winner heading into the weekend. The model was also all over long shot winner Collin Morikawa at the Workday Charity Open. It identified him as a top contender from the start despite his long odds and McClure recommended an outright bet on him to win at 33-1. The model also called Bryson DeChambeau taking the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

McClure returned a whopping +788 during the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge, including nailing top-five bets on Xander Schauffele at 13-2 and Collin Morikawa at 9-1. The model was also extremely high on 30-1 long shot winner Webb Simpson at the RBC Heritage. The model had him in the top five from the start and McClure’s best bets included Simpson winning outright. 

In all, the advanced computer model has nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend, including two of the last three. Anyone who has followed its golf picks has seen massive returns returns. 

Now that the PGA Championship 2020 field is nearly finalized, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the early projected leaderboard.

The model’s top 2020 PGA Championship predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2020: Tiger Woods, who’s seeking his record-breaking 83rd PGA Tour victory, stumbles big-time and doesn’t even crack the top 10. Woods, a 15-time major champion, is one of golf’s most decorated players and has finished on top of the PGA Championship leaderboard four times in his career. He’s also had success at TPC Harding Park in San Francisco, winning the WGC-American Express Invitational in 2005. 

However, the 44-year-old hasn’t won the PGA Championship since 2007 and faces an uphill climb after playing in just one tournament since February. In his last event, the Memorial Tournament in July, he finished 40th and struggled throughout the week, shooting a 76 twice at Muirfield Village. He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in this loaded PGA Championship 2020 field.

Another surprise: Collin Morikawa, a 22-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

Just 14 months after turning pro, Morikawa’s Official World Golf Ranking has improved from 1,039 to 12 by making 25 of 26 cuts and capturing wins at the 2019 Barracuda Championship and 2020 Workday Charity Open. 

Morikawa is gaining 1.098 strokes per round on approach so far this season, the best mark on the PGA Tour. His sharp ball-striking should serve him well at TPC Harding Park. The course measures at just 7,169 yards from the championship tees, and the former Cal golfer should have a home-course advantage in a return to the Bay Area.

How to make 2020 PGA Championship picks

Also, the model says four other golfers with odds of 22-1 or longer will make a strong run at the title, including a monster long shot going off higher than 45-1. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who wins the 2020 PGA Championship? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2020 PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed six golf majors and is up more than $8,000 since the restart.

2020 PGA Championship odds (via William Hill)

Rory McIlroy 8-1
Bryson DeChambeau 10-1
Jon Rahm 11-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Dustin Johnson 12-1
Brooks Koepka 14-1
Tiger Woods 18-1
Patrick Cantlay 18-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Xander Schauffele 22-1
Webb Simpson 28-1
Justin Rose 33-1
Jordan Spieth 33-1
Tony Finau 33-1
Tommy Fleetwood 33-1
Hideki Matsuyama 33-1
Adam Scott 33-1
Rickie Fowler 35-1
Patrick Reed 35-1
Daniel Berger 40-1
Gary Woodland 40-1
Viktor Hovland 40-1
Tyrrell Hatton 50-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Jason Day 50-1
Sung-Jae Im 50-1
Sergio Garcia 66-1
Henrik Stenson 66-1
Louis Oosthuizen 66-1
Marc Leishman 66-1
Matt Kuchar 66-1
Abraham Ancer 66-1
Shane Lowry 80-1
Bubba Watson 80-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 80-1
Phil Mickelson 80-1
Francesco Molinari 100-1
Matthew Wolff 100-1
Cameron Smith 100-1
Ian Poulter 100-1
Danny Willett 100-1
Brendon Todd 100-1
Matt Wallace 100-1


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