2020 3M Open odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from dialed-in model that nailed six majors

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The 2020 3M Open begins at TPC Twin Cities on Thursday, and if last year’s tournament is any indication, you can expect plenty of fireworks in suburban Minneapolis. A year ago, Matthew Wolff played on a sponsor’s exemption just weeks after turning pro and made a 26-foot eagle putt on the 18th hole to win by a stroke over Collin Morikawa and Bryson DeChambeau, earning a PGA Tour card for two years. The 21-year-old is listed at 28-1 to repeat in the latest 2020 3M Open odds from William Hill.

However, with 14 players shooting 14-under or lower last year and well-known names in the 2020 3M Open field like Dustin Johnson (the 10-1 favorite), Brooks Koepka (12-1) and Tommy Fleetwood (14-1), Wolff could have his work cut out to defend the title. So who should you back when the first 2020 3M Open tee times begin on Thursday morning? Before locking in your 2020 3M Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the latest golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine. 

SportsLine’s prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire since the return of the PGA Tour in June. At the Memorial Tournament, McClure used the model to identify winner Jon Rahm (22-1) as one of his best bets from the start. It also had him as the projected winner heading into the weekend. The model was also all over long shot winner Collin Morikawa at the Workday Charity Open. It identified him as a top contender from the start despite his long odds and McClure recommended an outright bet on him to win at 33-1. The model also called Bryson DeChambeau taking the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

Using the model for his best bets, McClure returned a whopping +788 during the 2020 Charles Schwab Challenge, including nailing top-five bets on Xander Schauffele at 13-2 and Collin Morikawa at 9-1.

The model was also extremely high on 30-1 long shot winner Webb Simpson at the RBC Heritage. The model had him in the top five from the start and McClure’s best bets included Simpson winning outright. 

This same model predicted Gary Woodland’s first career major championship at the U.S. Open even though he wasn’t the favorite entering the weekend. The model also called Koepka’s historic victory at the 2019 PGA Championship, predicting he’d hold his lead in the home stretch. In all, the advanced computer model has nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend, including two of the last three. Anyone who has followed its golf picks has seen some massive returns returns. 

Now that the 3M Open 2020 field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the full projected leaderboard.

The model’s top 2020 3M Open predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the 3M Open 2020: Brooks Koepka, a four-time major champion and one of the top favorites at 12-1, comes up short of winning it all. Koepka remains the No. 6 player in the world, but he’s struggled mightily this season.

He has just one top-10 finish and missed the cut at the Workday Charity Open. He finished 62nd last week at the Memorial, shooting 72 or above in all four rounds. While he remains one of the most powerful drivers on tour, his lack of driving accuracy is alarming, as he ranks 195th on tour at 53.57 percent. He still is getting the second-lowest odds in the field, but the model has identified him as a poor value, making him one of the 2020 3M Open Tournament favorites to avoid this week. 

Another surprise: Paul Casey, a massive 25-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Casey is currently the No. 27 player in the world, but he’s been ranked as high as No. 11 in the last year thanks to a pair of wins in 2019. 

Casey won the 2019 Valspar Championship on the PGA Tour and also took down the 2019 Porsche European Open. Casey should head to TPC Twin Cities full of confidence in his swing since he ranks in the top 10 on the PGA Tour in strokes gained off the tee and strokes gained approaching the green since the start of the 2018-19 PGA Tour season.

How to make 2020 3M Open picks

Also, the model says four other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer will make a strong run at the title, including an astronomical long shot going off higher than 75-1. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who wins the 2020 3M Open? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the projected 2020 3M Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed six golf majors and was extremely high on last week’s winner, and find out.

2020 3M Open odds (via William Hill)

Dustin Johnson 10-1
Brooks Koepka 12-1
Tommy Fleetwood 14-1
Tony Finau 14-1
Paul Casey 25-1
Matthew Wolff 28-1
Bubba Watson 33-1
Russell Henley 33-1
Lucas Glover 35-1
Harris English 35-1
Erik van Rooyen 40-1
Brendon Todd 45-1
Sam Burns 50-1
Doc Redman 50-1
Sepp Straka 50-1
Luke List 50-1
Brian Harman 55-1
Henrik Norlander 55-1
Patrick Rodgers 55-1
Ryan Moore 60-1
Si-Woo Kim 66-1
Chris Kirk 66-1 
Will Gordon 66-1
Kristoffer Ventura 66-1
Carlos Ortiz 66-1
Ryan Armour 66-1
Scott Stallings 66-1 
Rafa Cabrera Bello 70-1 
Jhonattan Vegas 70-1 
Tom Lewis 70-1 
Troy Merritt 80-1 
Richy Werenski 80-1 
Wyndham Clark 80-1 
Max Homa 80-1 
Alex Noren 80-1 
Sam Ryder 80-1 
Charles Howell 80-1 
Bernd Wiesberger 80-1 
Charley Hoffman 80-1 
Kyle Stanley 100-1
Dylan Frittelli 100-1
Matthias Schwab 100-1
Adam Schenk 100-1
Talor Gooch 100-1
Emiliano Grillo 100-1
Ben Martin 100-1

Jason Kokrak 100-1
Michael Thompson 100-1
Wes Roach 100-1
Pat Perez 100-1
Chase Seiffert 100-1
Chesson Hadley 125-1
Danny Lee 125-1
Aaron Wise 125-1
Matthew NeSmith 125-1
Jason Dufner 125-1
Harry Higgs 125-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 125-1
Cameron Tringale 125-1
Chris Stroud 125-1
Peter Uihlein 125-1
Seung-Yul Noh 125-1
Adam Long 125-1
Tom Hoge 125-1
Brandon Hagy 125-1
Scott Piercy 125-1
Charl Schwartzel 125-1
Austin Cook 125-1
Vaughn Taylor 150-1
Xinjun Zhang 150-1
Hudson Swafford 150-1
Keith Mitchell 150-1
Brice Garnett 150-1 
Stewart Cink 150-1
Joseph Bramlett 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Russell Knox 150-1
Patton Kizzire 150-1
Sahith Theegala 200-1
Roger Sloan 200-1
Nick Watney 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Andrew Putnam 200-1
Cameron Davis 200-1
Scott Harrington 200-1
Seamus Power 200-1
Rhein Gibson 200-1
Bronson Burgoon 200-1
Fabian Gomez 200-1
Tim Wilkinson 200-1
Johnson Wagner 200-1
Scott Brown 200-1
J.J. Spaun 200-1
Sang-Moon Bae 200-1
Luke Donald 250-1
Shawn Stefani 250-1
George McNeill 250-1
Bo Hoag 250-1
Josh Teater 250-1
Bill Haas 250-1
Brian Gay 250-1
Kevin Tway 250-1
Kramer Hickok 250-1
Alex Cejka 250-1
Tyler McCumber 300-1
Ryan Blaum 300-1
Aaron Baddeley 300-1
Hank Lebioda 300-1

Mark Anderson 300-1
Chris Couch 300-1
Ted Potter 300-1
Chris Baker 300-1
Grayson Murray 300-1
Peter Malnati 300-1
Zack Sucher 300-1
Jamie Lovemark 300-1
Roberto Castro 300-1
Cameron Percy 300-1
Robert Streb 300-1
Vincent Whaley 300-1
David Hearn 300-1
Jonathan Byrd 300-1
David Lingmerth 300-1
Sebastian Cappelen 300-1
Nelson Ledesma 400-1
Arjun Atwal 400-1
Ryan Brehm 400-1
K.J. Choi 400-1
D.J. Trahan 400-1
Chad Campbell 400-1
Ricky Barnes 400-1
Doug Ghim 400-1
Tommy Gainey 400-1
Robby Shelton 400-1
J.J. Henry 500-1
Greg Chalmers 500-1
Chase Koepka 500-1
John Merrick 500-1
Michael Gligic 500-1
Matt Every 500-1
Derek Ernst 500-1
Michael Gellerman 500-1
Ben Taylor 500-1
Rob Oppenheim 500-1
Peter Kuest 500-1 
Dominic Bozzelli 500-1
Tom Lehman 500-1
Bo Van Pelt 750-1
Martin Trainer 750-1
Tim Herron 750-1
John Senden 750-1
Angus Flanagan 750-1
Michael Kim 750-1


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